What will Antarctica and the Southern Ocean look like in 2065?
These questions will be explored at the 1st Martha T. Muse Fellows Colloquium
April 22, 2014 | Queenstown, NZ
Forecasters and futurists tell us that in 2065:
- The world’s human population will be 8.5 billion
- Atmospheric CO2 levels will exceed 650 ppm under a business as usual scenario
- The Arctic ocean will be ice free in August and September
- Average global temperature will 4°C warmer than in 2000
- Ocean pH will be less than 8.2
- Sea level will be ~26 cm higher than in 1990
What will these dramatic changes to Planet Earth mean for the world’s last great wilderness and bellwether of global change – Antarctica and the Southern Ocean? To speculate about this future world and the ramifications for human societies, the Colloquium will convene a panel of the Martha T. Muse Prize awardees and guests to address the topic “Beyond the Horizon – Antarctica and the Southern Ocean 2065”.
The Colloquium is part of the 1St SCAR Antarctic and Southern Ocean Horizon Scan, which is assembling ~80 of the world’s leading Antarctic scientists, policymakers, and logistics and science funders to develop a collective community view of the most timely, urgent and compelling scientific questions that need to be addressed in the next two decades.
The Colloquium panel will include the five Martha T. Muse Prize recipients to date:
- Steven Chown (terrestrial ecologist and policy adviser), Monash University
- Helen Fricker (glaciologist and satellite observational specialist), University of California San Diego
- Jose Xavier (marine biologist, ecologist and marine mammals expert), University of Coimbra and the British Antarctic Survey
- Steve Rintoul, (physical oceanographic modeller and observational expert) CSIRO
- Martin Siegert (glaciologist and geologist), University of Bristol University
The Muse Fellows will be joined on the panel by Neil Gilbert, a policy adviser and Antarctic governance expert, and Gary Wilson, marine geologist, geophysicist, paleoclimate expert and Director of the New Zealand Antarctic Research Institute (NZARI). A web stream of the Muse Fellows Colloquium will be made available via the web, details to follow.
The Martha T. Muse Prize and Colloquium are named for the late Director of the Tinker Foundation, who is recognized for her years of outstanding leadership. One of her final directives to the Tinker Foundation was incorporating Antarctica-related subjects under the Foundation’s funding mandate. Her support of Antarctica was recognized in 2009 by the establishment of the Martha T. Muse Prize for Science and Policy in Antarctica, an award for mid-career Antarctic scientists and policy makers. The Marth T. Muse Prize and Colloquium are financially supported by the Tinker Foundation.
For more information or press requests contact:
Executive Officer, Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research
Tel: +44 1223 336556
Fax: +44 1223 336549